It’s March. That’s as a lot of an intro to this week’s Field of 68 NCAA Tournament projections as you want, proper? Cool. Let’s go.
As at all times, (*68*) News’ Field of 68 projections are primarily based on the place groups must be seeded primarily based on how resumes evaluate, if the season ended yesterday. For every workforce, I’ve included a pair of rankings and data that can be very related when the choice committee meets to construct the actual bracket.
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Automatic bids (famous in parenthesis) go to the workforce with the finest convention document. In case of a tie, the bid is given to the workforce with the finest NET score.
Projected No. 1 seeds
Gonzaga (West Coast), Michigan (Big Ten), Baylor (Big 12), Illinois
Gonzaga (24-0): NET/Pom: 1/1. vs. Q1: 7-0. vs. Q3/4: 12-0
Michigan (18-1): NET/Pom: 2/2. vs. Q1: 8-1. vs. Q3/4: 5-0
Baylor (18-1): NET/Pom: 3/3. vs. Q1: 6-1. vs. Q3/4: 10-0
Illinois (18-6): NET/Pom: 5/6. vs. Q1: 8-5. vs. Q3/4: 5-0
Baylor suffered its first loss of the season, however the Bears are in little or no hazard of dropping off the prime seed line. The solely method that will occur can be in the event that they misplaced their closing three regular-season video games AND the Big 12 Tournament opener. Even then, they’d nonetheless be a worthy candidate. Ohio State dropped off this week and Illinois ascends to that fourth spot on the No. 1 seed line. The Illini dropped a sport on the highway in opposition to a surging Michigan State workforce every week in the past, however rebounded with a workmanlike win over Nebraska and a win at Wisconsin, which is at all times spectacular.
Projected No. 2 seeds
Ohio State, Alabama (SEC), Iowa, Houston
Ohio State (18-7): NET/Pom: 8/7. vs. Q1: 7-5. vs. Q3/4: 7-0
Alabama (19-6): NET/Pom: 7/8. vs. Q1: 7-4. vs. Q3/4: 6-1
Iowa (18-7): NET/Pom: 6/5. vs. Q1: 5-6. vs. Q3/4: 5-0
Houston (19-3): NET/Pom: 4/4. vs. Q1: 2-1. vs. Q3/4: 13-1
The Big Ten schedule is brutal, and the Buckeyes are stumbling a bit proper now. They’ve misplaced three in a row — at house vs. Michigan and Iowa, and at Michigan State. Their closing regular-season tilt is at house on Saturday in opposition to Illinois, in opposition to the workforce that took the No. 1 seed from them this week. Iowa had the good win at Ohio State, however that adopted a 22-point loss at Michigan. The Hawkeyes began nicely after which had been run out of the fitness center in the final half-hour or so.
Projected No. 3 seeds
West Virginia, Villanova (Big East), Kansas, Florida State (ACC)
West Virginia (17-6): NET/Pom: 13/19. vs. Q1: 6-6. vs. Q3/4: 6-0
Villanova (15-4): NET/Pom: 11/10. vs. Q1: 2-3. vs. Q3/4: 8-0
Kansas (17-8): NET/Pom: 10/18. vs. Q1: 6-8. vs. Q3/4: 8-0
Florida State (14-4): NET/Pom: 14/9. vs. Q1: 3-3. vs. Q3/4: 5-1
An excellent case could possibly be made for West Virginia forward of Houston on the 2-seed line, and the Mountaineers have an excellent likelihood to solidify that case down the stretch. Their closing three video games are at house in opposition to Baylor, TCU and Oklahoma State; win all three they usually’ll nearly definitely be a 2 seed — and a darkish horse for that closing 1-seed spot. It’s telling that, in a 12 months when the Jayhawks will lose their grip on the Big 12 title (Baylor will run away with that), Kansas nonetheless will wind up as a top-4 seed.
Projected No. 4 seeds
Arkansas, Virginia, Oklahoma State, Texas
Arkansas (19-5): NET/Pom: 18/17. vs. Q1: 6-4. vs. Q3/4: 9-0
Virginia (16-6): NET/Pom: 20/15. vs. Q1: 3-4. vs. Q3/4: 9-1
Oklahoma State (17-6): NET/Pom: 31/35. vs. Q1: 8-4. vs. Q3/4: 8-1
Texas (14-7): NET/Pom: 27/25. vs. Q1: 4-7. vs. Q3/4: 7-0
Arkansas has completed wonders for its eventual NCAA Tournament seed in current weeks, knocking off 4 tournament-bound groups in a row: Missouri, Florida, Alabama and LSU. The Razorbacks went from the 8/9/10 seed vary to a probable spot in the prime 5. Impressive. And talking of spectacular, how about Oklahoma State? Cade Cunningham and the Cowboys have 4 OT wins this 12 months, all in opposition to groups that may simply earn at-large bids. That sweep of Oklahoma (one on Saturday, one on Monday) was particularly spectacular.
Projected No. 5 seeds
Oklahoma, Purdue, Texas Tech, Florida
Oklahoma (14-8): NET/Pom: 30/31. vs. Q1: 5-6. vs. Q3/4: 8-1
Purdue (16-8): NET/Pom: 22/13. vs. Q1: 5-7. vs. Q3/4: 5-1
Texas Tech (15-8): NET/Pom: 15/23. vs. Q1: 5-7. vs. Q3/4: 10-0
Florida (13-6): NET/Pom: 26/27. vs. Q1: 5-3. vs. Q3/4: 5-1
Obviously the Sooners would have liked to no less than cut up with Oklahoma State, and that might have occurred; one sport went to OT and the different was determined by 4 factors. But the factor that basically hurts the resume? The sport earlier than that, a loss on the highway to a Okay-State workforce that the Sooners beat by 26 factors earlier this season. The Wildcats are ranked 200 in the NET — even after beating OU — and hadn’t overwhelmed a workforce in the NET prime 100 all season. Yikes.
Projected No. 6 seeds
Creighton, Colorado, Clemson, Tennessee
Creighton (17-6): NET/Pom: 25/15. vs. Q1: 4-2. vs. Q3/4: 6-3
Colorado (19-7): NET/Pom: 12/16. vs. Q1: 3-4. vs. Q3/4: 9-3
Clemson (15-5): NET/Pom: 33/38. vs. Q1: 4-5. vs. Q3/4: 5-0
Tennessee (16-7): NET/Pom: 21/24. vs. Q1: 5-5. vs. Q3/4: 10-0
Colorado had an enormous week, successful house video games in opposition to USC and UCLA. The Buffs have strong pc numbers, as you see, however the three Quad 3 losses aren’t going to assist when the committee does its seed scrub. They’ll want as many high quality wins as doable. Clemson continues to roll alongside, successful 5 in a row in ACC play, and instantly a resume with solely 5 losses — and neutral-court non-conference wins in opposition to Alabama and Purdue — begins to look fairly darn good.
Projected No. 7 seeds
Missouri, Wisconsin, Virginia Tech, USC
Missouri (14-7): NET/Pom: 46/48. vs. Q1: 6-4. vs. Q3/4: 6-0
Wisconsin (16-9): NET/Pom: 24/11. vs. Q1: 3-8. vs. Q3/4: 6-0
Virginia Tech (15-5): NET/Pom: 44/46. vs. Q1: 2-2. vs. Q3/4: 10-0
USC (19-6): NET/Pom: 25/21. vs. Q1: 3-3. vs. Q3/4: 12-0
Wisconsin’s pc metrics are strong, as at all times, they usually have a handful of strong victories, however the Badgers lack a “signature” win in a convention with heaps of signature-win alternatives — they’re 0-6 mixed in opposition to Michigan, Ohio State, Illinois and Iowa.
Projected No. 8 seeds
UCLA (Pac 12), Oregon, BYU, San Diego State (Mountain West)
UCLA (17-6): NET/Pom: 39/41. vs. Q1: 2-4. vs. Q3/4: 12-0
Oregon (17-5): NET/Pom: 42/37. vs. Q1: 3-3. vs. Q3/4: 9-2
BYU (18-5): NET/Pom: 19/22. vs. Q1: 3-3. vs. Q3/4: 10-0
San Diego State (18-4): NET/Pom: 17/20. vs. Q1: 0-3. vs. Q3/4: 12-0
San Diego State had been tied atop the Mountain West in the loss column with Boise State and Colorado State with three league losses every. But the Aztecs knocked one of these groups — the Broncos — out of the dialog with a sweep at house final week. Both video games had been shut (one in OT, one determined by 4 factors) however San Diego State got here away with wins each instances and went a good distance towards firming up that at-large bid.
Projected No. 9 seeds
Louisville, LSU, Maryland, Loyola Chicago (Missouri Valley)
Louisville (13-5): NET/Pom: 47/44. vs. Q1: 1-4. vs. Q3/4: 6-1
LSU (14-8): NET/Pom: 29/29. vs. Q1: 3-8. vs. Q3/4: 8-0
Maryland (15-10): NET/Pom: 28/26. vs. Q1: 5-9. vs. Q3/4: 8-0
Loyola Chicago (19-4): NET/Pom: 16/12. vs. Q1: 1-2. vs. Q3/4: 14-0
Louisville received a much-needed Quad 1 win on Saturday, knocking off Duke in Durham. That’s not the elite win it will be most years, however for a resume with an enormous ol’ zero in the Q1 win column, it was nonetheless large for Louisville. LSU, on the different hand, misplaced back-to-back highway video games. The one at Arkansas wasn’t so unhealthy; the one at Georgia was a bit extra painful.
Projected No. 10 seeds
Rutgers, North Carolina, UConn, St. Bonaventure (Atlantic 10)
Rutgers (13-10): NET/Pom: 38/32. vs. Q1: 4-8. vs. Q3/4: 5-0
North Carolina (15-9): NET/Pom: 45/33. vs. Q1: 2-8. vs. Q3/4: 7-1
UConn (12-6): NET/Pom: 35/28. vs. Q1: 2-3. vs. Q3/4: 7-0
St. Bonaventure (13-4): NET/Pom: 32/34. vs. Q1: 2-2. vs. Q3/4: 9-1
Four of UConn’s six losses this 12 months got here with star James Bouknight out of the lineup. In video games he’s performed, the Huskies’ solely setbacks had been in OT in opposition to Creighton and by single digits on the highway at Villanova. That issues to the committee. He’s again and scored a complete of 44 factors in straightforward wins in opposition to Marquette and Georgetown final week.
Projected No. 11 seeds
Xavier, Colorado State, VCU, Drake, Boise State
Xavier (13-5): NET/Pom: 50/55. vs. Q1: 2-2. vs. Q3/4: 7-0
Colorado State (15-4): NET/Pom: 40/61. vs. Q1: 2-3. vs. Q3/4: 12-0
VCU (17-6): NET/Pom: 37/50. vs. Q1: 1-4. vs. Q3/4: 9-2
*Drake (22-3): NET/Pom: 42/56. vs. Q1: 1-1. vs. Q3/4: 17-2
*Boise State (17-6): NET/Pom: 34/52. vs. Q1: 2-4. vs. Q3/4: 13-0
We talked about Boise’s shut calls at San Diego State final week as a result of successful only one of the two would have given the Broncos one other high quality highway win to go along with the Ws at BYU and at Colorado State and assist the committee forgive two highway losses at Nevada. Drake has that shiny document, however the loss in opposition to Bradley final week isn’t useful.
Projected No. 12 seeds
Georgia Tech, Saint Louis, Wichita State (American), Western Kentucky (Conference USA), Colgate (Patriot)
*Georgia Tech (13-8): NET/Pom: 41/30. vs. Q1: 2-6. vs. Q3/4: 6-2
*Saint Louis (13-5): NET/Pom: 43/42. vs. Q1: 1-2. vs. Q3/4: 9-2
Georgia Tech began its season with losses at house to Georgia State and Mercer, however the Jackets now have wins in opposition to Florida State, Clemson, Virginia Tech, North Carolina and Syracuse, and that’s sufficient to get on this week. Saint Louis makes it in the closing spot, however largely as a result of Seton Hall, Indiana and Stanford had terrible weeks.
No. 13 seeds: Belmont (Ohio Valley), UC Santa Barbara (Big West), Winthrop (Big South), Toledo (MAC)
No. 14 seeds: UNCG (Southern), Cleveland State (Horizon), Abilene Christian (Southland), Liberty (Atlantic Sun)
No. 15 seeds: Vermont (America East), Eastern Washington (Big Sky), James Madison (Colonial), Grand Canyon (WAC)
No. 16 seeds: Siena (MAAC), South Dakota State (Summit), *Texas State (Sun Belt), *Prairie View A&M (SWAC), *Bryant(Northeast), *North Carolina A&T (MEAC)
*First Four groups
Dropped out: Indiana, North Texas, Seton Hall, South Dakota State, Stanford, Wagner, Wright State
Newbies: Bryant, Cleveland State, Georgia Tech, Saint Louis, South Dakota, UConn, Western Kentucky
First 4 out
Michigan State (13-10): NET/Pom: 77/63. vs. Q1: 4-9. vs. Q3/4: 6-0
Seton Hall (13-10): NET/Pom: 53/43. vs. Q1: 3-6. vs. Q3/4: 7-1
Duke (11-9): NET/Pom: 58/36. vs. Q1: 2-3. vs. Q3/4: 5-3
Indiana (12-12): NET/Pom: 57/37. vs. Q1: 3-9. vs. Q3/4: 3-2
Other bubble groups (alphabetical)
Memphis (14-6): NET/Pom: 59/47. vs. Q1: 0-2. vs. Q3/4: 10-1
Minnesota (13-12): NET/Pom: 70/57. vs. Q1: 4-10. vs. Q3/4: 8-1
Mississippi (13-10): NET/Pom: 60/58. vs. Q1: 3-4. vs. Q3/4: 6-2
SMU (11-4): NET/Pom: 54/51. vs. Q1: 0-3. vs. Q3/4: 7-1
Stanford (14-11): NET/Pom: 63/70. vs. Q1: 4-5. vs. Q3/4: 9-1
Syracuse (14-8): NET/Pom: 55/59. vs. Q1: 1-6. vs. Q3/4: 10-1
Utah State (14-7): NET/Pom: 48/45. vs. Q1: 2-4. vs. Q3/4: 12-2
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